Land & Carbon Lab
Cropland Change
Cropland extent, loss and gain from 2000-2003 and 2016-2019
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A probability-based sample analysis is the recommended good practice approach to estimating land cover and land use extent and change. The global land cover map time-series enables a higher sampling efficiency through stratification at the sub-national, national, and global scales. The maps should not be used as the only source data for national and international reporting due to unknown map uncertainty that may vary in space and between time intervals.
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Cropland maps have higher accuracy in regions dominated by large-scale industrial farming, e.g. North and South America. In Europe, Asia, and Africa, the global map may underestimate small-scale cropland areas due to Landsat spatial resolution limitations in mapping heterogeneous landscapes.
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Cropland class may be confused with the intensively managed permanent pastures as both classes have similar spectral response and phenology. This issue may cause an overestimation of cropland area in Australia, New Zealand, and parts of Western Europe.
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Dryland rainfed agriculture and summer wheat production areas, especially when intermittent with long fallow, may be partially omitted in Central Asia and the Middle East. The short vegetation season and the lack of cloud-free Landsat data in some years may preclude dryland agriculture detection.
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Croplands that were repeatedly abandoned and recultivated may be inconsistently mapped as cropland loss or gain.